TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 18, 2010 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder2 3 3 0 210
- 10Wiesław Jaguś1 2 1 04+2
- 11Adrian Miedziński3 1 3 3 212
- 12Hans Andersen1 3 1 3 19
- 13Ryan Sullivan1 2 3 1 07
- 14Emil Pulczyński3 3 06
- 15Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 03+1
- 1Jarosław Hampel3 0 2 3 2 W10
- 2Troy Batchelor0 2 02
- 3Janusz Kołodziej2 3 0 2 3 313+1
- 4Damian Baliński0 1 23
- 5Leigh Adams2 1 2 0 1 17+1
- 6Jurica Pavlic0 0 2 13+1
- 7Sławomir Musielak1 01
Heat by heat
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR2*
- Sławomir Musielak · LES1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1*
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Damian Baliński · LES0
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Jurica Pavlic · LES0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Troy Batchelor · LES2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Damian Baliński · LES1
- Emil Pulczyński · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Leigh Adams · LES1
- Sławomir Musielak · LES0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR1
- Troy Batchelor · LES0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Leigh Adams · LES2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jurica Pavlic · LES2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Leigh Adams · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jarosław Hampel · LES2
- Jurica Pavlic · LES1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · TOR0
- Hans Andersen · TOR3
- Damian Baliński · LES2
- Leigh Adams · LES1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Leigh Adams · LES1
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 21 km/h N
- gusts up to 50 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 26.9 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.3 | 12 | +4.7 |
| Emil Pulczyński | 3 | 2.0 | 6 | +4.0 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Sławomir Musielak | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Damian Baliński | 3 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 4 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 13.4 | 10 | -3.4 |
| Leigh Adams | 6 | 12.7 | 7 | -5.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.