GOR vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 16, 2009 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Tomasz Gollob3 2 2 2 3 315+1
- 10David Ruud0 00
- 11Matej Zagar0 2 1 2 16+2
- 12Peter Karlsson1 1 2 0 26+1
- 13Rune Holta1 3 D 3 3 111
- 14Tomas H Jonasson2 0 1 1 15
- 15Paweł Zmarzlik11+1
- 1Piotr Protasiewicz1 3 W 3 07+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen2 0 2 04
- 3Rafał Dobrucki2 W 3 1 39+1
- 4Fredrik Lindgren3 2 1 2 08
- 5Grzegorz Walasek2 3 3 1 211+2
- 6Patryk Dudek3 3 1 07
- 7Grzegorz Zengota0 W0
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR2
- Paweł Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · ZIE0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- David Ruud · GOR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE3
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE2*
- Peter Karlsson · GOR1
- Matej Zagar · GOR0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2*
- Rune Holta · GOR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Peter Karlsson · GOR1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Rune Holta · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR1
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Rune Holta · GORD
- Rune Holta · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE2
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR1
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE1
- David Ruud · GOR0
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE3
- Peter Karlsson · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Rune Holta · GOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2*
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR1
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE2
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE1*
- Peter Karlsson · GOR0
- Rafał Dobrucki · ZIE3
- Peter Karlsson · GOR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · ZIE2
- Rune Holta · GOR1
- Fredrik Lindgren · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 28 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GOR | ZIE | GOR | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 3.3 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Rune Holta | 6 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 13.3 | 15 | +1.7 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Peter Karlsson | 5 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Paweł Zmarzlik | 1 | 1.0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Rafał Dobrucki | 5 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| David Ruud | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.7 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 2 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.