TOR vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 31, 2008 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Hans Andersen2 1 1 26+2
- 10Robert Kościecha3 3 3 2 213+2
- 11Ryan Sullivan3 3 1 3 313+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński2 1 2 3 210+2
- 13Wiesław Jaguś3 3 3 3 315
- 14Damian Celmer00
- 15Chris Holder3 2 2 D 29+3
- 1Tomasz Gollob1 U 2 14
- 2Łukasz Cyran00
- 3Peter Karlsson1 1 2 0 04
- 4Matej Ferjan0 0 D 1 12
- 5Rune Holta0 2 3 2 D 18
- 6Adrian Szewczykowski2 1 0 03
- 7Tomas H Jonasson1 0 2 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Adrian Szewczykowski · GOR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR1*
- Damian Celmer · TOR0
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Peter Karlsson · GOR1
- Matej Ferjan · GOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Adrian Szewczykowski · GOR1
- Rune Holta · GOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Peter Karlsson · GOR1
- Matej Ferjan · GOR0
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Rune Holta · GOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Adrian Szewczykowski · GOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR1
- Chris Holder · TORD
- Robert Kościecha · TOR3
- Peter Karlsson · GOR2
- Hans Andersen · TOR1
- Matej Ferjan · GORD
- Rune Holta · GOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Adrian Szewczykowski · GOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2*
- Rune Holta · GOR2
- Peter Karlsson · GOR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1
- Tomas H Jonasson · GOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Hans Andersen · TOR2*
- Matej Ferjan · GOR1
- Rune Holta · GORD
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Matej Ferjan · GOR1
- Łukasz Cyran · GOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Robert Kościecha · TOR2*
- Rune Holta · GOR1
- Peter Karlsson · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 21 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 8 km/h NE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 4 | +11 | −11 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| TOR | GOR | TOR | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +20 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +25 | 100 % |
| 12 | +29 | 100 % |
| 13 | +33 | 100 % |
| 14 | +37 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Kościecha | 4 | 5.4 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 10.7 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Adrian Szewczykowski | 4 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Tomas H Jonasson | 5 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Łukasz Cyran | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Damian Celmer | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Matej Ferjan | 5 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Hans Andersen | 4 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Peter Karlsson | 5 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 4 | 9.0 | 4 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.