TOR vs BYD
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 6, 2007 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś3 3 3 1 313
- 10Ales Dryml1 1 1 14
- 11Matej Zagar3 2 2 3 D10+1
- 12Adrian Miedziński2 3 1 3 211+3
- 13Ryan Sullivan2 3 3 3 213
- 14Alan Marcinkowski2 13+2
- 15Karol Ząbik3 1 0 26+1
- 1Mariusz Staszewski2 1 1 0 15+1
- 2Krzysztof BuczkowskiW 0 2 0 13
- 3Rafał Okoniewski1 0 0 01
- 4Jonas Davidsson0 2 2 2 39
- 5Andreas Jonsson3 4 2 312
- 6Marcin Jędrzejewski1 0 01
- 7Emil Sajfutdinow0 0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR2*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · BYD1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · BYD0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Mariusz Staszewski · BYD2
- Ales Dryml · TOR1
- Matej Zagar · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · BYD1
- Jonas Davidsson · BYD0
- Andreas Jonsson · BYD3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR1*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · BYD0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Matej Zagar · TOR2*
- Mariusz Staszewski · BYD1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD0
- Andreas Jonsson · BYD4
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · BYD0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Andreas Jonsson · BYD2
- Ales Dryml · TOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · BYD0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Mariusz Staszewski · BYD1*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Jonas Davidsson · BYD2
- Ales Dryml · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · BYD0
- Andreas Jonsson · BYD3
- Matej Zagar · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · BYD0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Jonas Davidsson · BYD2
- Ales Dryml · TOR1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD0
- Matej Zagar · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · BYD1
- Mariusz Staszewski · BYD0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jonas Davidsson · BYD2
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · BYD0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · BYD0
- Jonas Davidsson · BYD3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Mariusz Staszewski · BYD1
- Matej Zagar · TORD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h SE
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 7 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | BYD | TOR | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.4 | 11 | +4.6 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 5 | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Alan Marcinkowski | 2 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Ales Dryml | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Karol Ząbik | 4 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Mariusz Staszewski | 5 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Marcin Jędrzejewski | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.4 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 6.5 | 1 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.