LES vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 25, 2025 · Alfred Smoczyk Stadium, Leszno
Results
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 2 3 317
- 11Joshua Pickering0 3 1 1 1 06+2
- 12Nazar Parnitskyi1 0 1 2 1 38
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 1 3 3 1 213+1
- 14Antoni Mencel3 T 03
- 15Kacper Mania2 0 02+1
- 1Luke Becker1 3 3 2 110+1
- 2Grzegorz Walasek0 2 0 3 16+2
- 3Oliver Berntzon2 2 1 0 27+1
- 4Sebastian Szostak2 1 2 05+1
- 5Frederik Jakobsen2 2 3 2 09
- 6Paweł SitekW 1 0 23+1
- 7Filip Seniuk1 01
Heat by heat
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Luke Becker · OST1*
- Joshua Pickering · LES0
- Antoni Mencel · LES3
- Kacper Mania · LES2*
- Filip Seniuk · OST1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Paweł Sitek · OST1
- Joshua Pickering · LES3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Kacper Mania · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1
- Filip Seniuk · OST0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Luke Becker · OST3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Joshua Pickering · LES1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES2
- Joshua Pickering · LES1*
- Paweł Sitek · OST0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Luke Becker · OST2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Paweł Sitek · OST2*
- Joshua Pickering · LES1
- Kacper Mania · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Joshua Pickering · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Luke Becker · OST1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h S
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | OST | LES | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 12.6 | 17 | +4.4 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Filip Seniuk | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Kacper Mania | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Paweł Sitek | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 6 | 9.6 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Joshua Pickering | 6 | 11.2 | 6 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.