POZ vs LES
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, May 29, 2025 · Poznań Stadium, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen2 3 2 1 0 08
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach00
- 11Norick Blödorn0 1 2 2 05
- 12Bartosz Smektała2 0 02+1
- 13Ryan Douglas3 2 3 3 2 316
- 14Kacper Teska1 1 02
- 15Tobiasz Jakub MusielakD 0 11+1
- 16Francis Gusts2 0 13+1
- 2Janusz Kołodziej3 1 3 3 313
- 3Nazar Parnitskyi1 3 1 2 1 210
- 4Joshua Pickering3 2 1 1 0 310+2
- 5Grzegorz Zengota0 1 1 2 3 29+1
- 6Antoni Mencel2 2 3 18+3
- 7Kacper Mania3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Kacper Mania · LES3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZD
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Joshua Pickering · LES3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES3
- Joshua Pickering · LES2*
- Norick Blödorn · POZ1
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Francis Gusts · POZ2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Kacper Mania · LES0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES2
- Joshua Pickering · LES1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Joshua Pickering · LES1
- Francis Gusts · POZ0
- Antoni Mencel · LES3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Joshua Pickering · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Norick Blödorn · POZ2
- Tobiasz Jakub Musielak · POZ1*
- Kacper Mania · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Joshua Pickering · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Francis Gusts · POZ1
- Norick Blödorn · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| POZ | LES | POZ | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 9.6 | 16 | +6.4 |
| Antoni Mencel | 4 | 3.8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Francis Gusts | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.9 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 6 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Mania | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Joshua Pickering | 6 | 11.3 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Tobiasz Jakub Musielak | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 12.7 | 9 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.