POZ vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, June 28, 2024 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen2 1 1 2 28+2
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach0 2 2 1 05
- 11Mateusz Dul1 2 0 D3+2
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 2 3 212+2
- 13Ryan Douglas3 2 2 3 313
- 14Kacper Teska2 2 04+1
- 15Kacper Grzelak3 1 26+1
- 1Luke Becker3 3 3 3 0 113
- 2Benjamin Basso1 01
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 1 01
- 4Daniel Kaczmarek3 0 1 1 16
- 5Oliver BerntzonW 3 0 1 2 06
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak1 1 3 3 311
- 7Bartosz Nowak0 W 11
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Mateusz Dul · POZ2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ1*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ2
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · POZD
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| POZ | LOD | POZ | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 5 | 6.0 | 11 | +5.0 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Benjamin Basso | 2 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 3 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 11.8 | 6 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.