KRO vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, May 10, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Vaclav Milik1 3 2 3 312+2
- 10Jonas Seifert-Salk3 2 3 2 111+1
- 11Patryk Wojdyło2 2 1 3 19+1
- 12Norbert Krakowiak0 0 2 24+1
- 13Dimitri Berge3 1 2 1 310+1
- 14Piotr Świercz3 1 04
- 15Szymon Bańdur1 2 25+1
- 1Matias Nielsen0 3 3 1 1 08
- 2Szymon Szlauderbach2 0 02
- 3Ryan Douglas3 3 1 3 2 214
- 4Mateusz DulW 1 01
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev1 1 3 1 D 06+1
- 6Kacper Grzelak2 2 0 04
- 7Kacper Teska0 00
Heat by heat
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZD
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 15 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h N
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KRO | POZ | KRO | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 4 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Kacper Teska | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 10.9 | 8 | -2.9 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 12.7 | 6 | -6.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.