POZ vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 27, 2024 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen3 3 1 0 29+1
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach2 1 2 U 16+1
- 11Mateusz Dul2 1 2 16+2
- 12Ryan Douglas3 3 U 2 210
- 13Oleksandr Loktayev0 3 3 1 18+1
- 14Kacper TeskaD 1 01
- 15Kacper Grzelak3 0 25
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 3 3 312
- 2Tom Brennan2 1 0 3 06+1
- 3Nicolai Klindt0 2 1 2 38+2
- 4Mateusz Tonder3 0 2 16
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 3 3 09+1
- 6Miłosz Wysocki2 W 0 13
- 7Eryk Kaminski1 01
Heat by heat
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Mateusz Dul · POZ2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA0
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA1
- Kacper Teska · POZD
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ0
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1*
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA2
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Tom Brennan · GDA0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA3
- Mateusz Dul · POZ2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Ryan Douglas · POZU
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1*
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZU
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1*
- Tom Brennan · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h S
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 30 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| POZ | GDA | POZ | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 4 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Eryk Kaminski | 2 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.