RYB vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, September 7, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate3 2 1 3 312
- 10Brady Kurtz3 1 0 1 2 310+1
- 11Jakub Jamróg2 1 2 3 19+2
- 12Norick Blödorn0 2 02
- 13Grzegorz Walasek2 0 3 0 16
- 14Maksym Borowiak1 01+1
- 15Paweł Trześniewski2 2 26+1
- 16Kacper Tkocz00
- 1Matias Nielsen1 1 3 2 1 210
- 2Szymon Szlauderbach3 3 1 2 0 211+2
- 4Mateusz DulW 2 0 2 04
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev1 3 3 3 3 W13
- 6Kacper Grzelak3 1 1 05+1
- 7Kamil Witkowski0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1*
- Kamil Witkowski · POZ0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Mateusz Dul · POZ2
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ1*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1*
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Kamil Witkowski · POZ0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Mateusz Dul · POZ2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2*
- Kamil Witkowski · POZ1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 30 → 28 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| RYB | POZ | RYB | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 6 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 4 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Mateusz Dul | 5 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 13.3 | 13 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.6 | 9 | -0.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 2 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Kamil Witkowski | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 14.4 | 10 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.