POZ vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 31, 2024 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen2 2 0 2 06+1
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach2 0 1 1 26+1
- 11Mateusz Dul1 0 1 24
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 3 3 113+1
- 13Ryan Douglas1 2 3 2 210
- 14Kamil WitkowskiT 00
- 15Kacper Grzelak3 0 14+1
- 16Jakub Oleksiak00
- 1Jakub Jamróg3 1 2 1 310+1
- 2Rohan Tungate0 3 3 3 312
- 3Grzegorz WalasekW 1 2 0 14+1
- 4Norick Blödorn1 2 1 04+1
- 5Brady Kurtz2 3 2 3 010
- 6Maksym Borowiak1 3 04
- 7Paweł Trześniewski2 1 03
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Jakub Oleksiak · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1*
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1*
- Kamil Witkowski · POZ0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Mateusz Dul · POZ2
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 22 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NE
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| POZ | RYB | POZ | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.7 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Jakub Oleksiak | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.4 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Kamil Witkowski | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.