BYD vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 21, 2024 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck1 2 2 2 18+1
- 10Andreas Lyager2 1 3 06+1
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 1 2 07+2
- 12Tim Sörensen1 2 3 1 310+1
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 2 213
- 14Bartosz Curzytek3 1 15+1
- 15Franciszek Karczewski2 1 36+1
- 1Szymon Szlauderbach2 0 2 1 0 27
- 2Mateusz Dul0 0 U0
- 3Ryan Douglas0 3 3 2 1 110
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 2 3 3 316
- 6Lech Chlebowski0 0 0 00
- 7Kacper Teska1 0 0 1 02
Heat by heat
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ0
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD3
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD1*
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 30 → 31 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 30 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| BYD | POZ | BYD | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 11.5 | 16 | +4.5 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Tim Sörensen | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 6 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Kacper Teska | 5 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 10.6 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Lech Chlebowski | 4 | 4.3 | 0 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.