POZ vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 6, 2024 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen3 2 3 1 2 112+3
- 10Szymon SzlauderbachD 3 0 14+1
- 11Mateusz Dul0 1 01
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 2 3 3 216
- 13Ryan Douglas2 T 1 2 38+1
- 14Kacper Teska1 1 1 0 03
- 15Lech Chlebowski0 00
- 1Vaclav Milik1 3 2 2 08+1
- 2Patryk Wojdyło0 2 1 25+2
- 3Kenneth Bjerre2 2 3 3 313
- 4Norbert Krakowiak3 0 2 0 16+1
- 6Szymon Bańdur2 2 15+2
- 7Piotr Świercz3 0 14+1
- 8Jonas Seifert-Salk1 1 3 0 05
Heat by heat
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZD
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2*
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 30 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 21 km/h S
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| POZ | KRO | POZ | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 12.6 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Teska | 5 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Lech Chlebowski | 2 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.