POZ vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 13, 2024 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Szymon Szlauderbach2 1 2 1 06+1
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 3 1 19+1
- 11Mateusz Dul0 1 1 13+2
- 12Ryan Douglas3 2 2 0 310
- 13Oleksandr Loktayev1 3 3 2 09
- 14Kacper Teska1 0 01
- 15Kacper GrzelakD 1 34
- 1Rohan Tungate3 2 1 2 210+2
- 2Grzegorz Walasek0 0 00
- 3Jakub Jamróg1 3 1 0 27+1
- 4Norick Blödorn2 0 2 3 18+2
- 5Brady Kurtz2 2 3 3 313
- 6Kacper Tkocz3 3 06
- 7Maksym Borowiak2 0 02+1
- 8Paweł Trześniewski22
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Mateusz Dul · POZ0
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB3
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZD
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · POZ3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · POZ3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Norick Blödorn · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ0
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Mateusz Dul · POZ1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · POZ1*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · POZ1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 20 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| POZ | RYB | POZ | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 2.1 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.9 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 1 | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 4.7 | 0 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.