LOD vs RYB

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 10, 2023 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź

Results

LOD 35 : 55 RYB
LOD
RYB

Heat by heat

Heat 161.39 s3:3
Heat 261.61 s3:3
Heat 360.62 s1:5
Heat 460.59 s2:4
Heat 560.99 s2:4
Heat 659.64 s2:4
Heat 761.21 s5:1
Heat 860.07 s1:5
Heat 960.74 s3:3
Heat 1060.98 s3:3
Heat 1160.60 s1:5
Heat 1260.09 s3:3
Heat 1360.64 s3:3
Heat 1460.68 s1:5
Heat 1560.15 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
26 → 25 °C
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Wind
23 km/h NE
gusts up to 41 km/h
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
28 %
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–79900
8–10711−4+4
11–13711−4+4
14–1539−6+6
LODRYBLODRYB

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LOD
-20-15-10-50115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2064 %
3-434 %
4-623 %
5-818 %
6-108 %
7-618 %
8-107 %
9-102 %
10-107 %
11-142 %
12-144 %
13-140 %
14-180 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Brady Kurtz511.415+3.6
Jakub Jamróg68.912+3.1
Aleksander Grygolec53.16+2.9
Paweł Trześniewski32.45+2.6
Patryk Wojdyło56.38+1.7
Tomasz Gapiński11.02+1.0
Matej Zagar59.310+0.7
Jan Kvech47.47-0.4
Patrick Hansen59.48-1.4
Mateusz Dul43.92-1.9
Timo Lahti69.27-2.2
Kamil Winkler34.72-2.7
Mateusz Tonder45.22-3.2
Niels Kristian Iversen47.74-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.6159.64 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 25.0:40.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −1.47 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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