LOD vs ZIE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 28, 2023 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 2 05
- 10Jakub JamrógW 2 1 3 28+1
- 11Mateusz Tonder0 0 22
- 12Tomasz Gapiński2 1 2 1 17+1
- 13Rune Holta0 2 1 1 26
- 14Aleksander Grygolec2 13+1
- 15Mateusz Dul3 0 0 14
- 16Tom Brennan0 00
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 3 312
- 2Luke Becker1 1 T 35
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 3 3 2 312
- 4Rohan Tungate2 2 2 2 311+4
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 0 110
- 6Michał Curzytek1 3 0 15
- 7Dawid Rempała0 U0
- 8Maksym BorowiakU 00
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Luke Becker · ZIE1
- Rune Holta · LOD0
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rune Holta · LOD2
- Luke Becker · ZIE1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIEU
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Rune Holta · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1
- Tom Brennan · LOD0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Luke Becker · ZIE3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIEU
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Rune Holta · LOD1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Rune Holta · LOD2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Tom Brennan · LOD0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1*
- Maksym Borowiak · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 20 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LOD | ZIE | LOD | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -16 | 2 % |
| 11 | -20 | 1 % |
| 12 | -20 | 0 % |
| 13 | -18 | 0 % |
| 14 | -20 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Michał Curzytek | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Luke Becker | 3 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 11.4 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Dawid Rempała | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Tom Brennan | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.