RYB vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 20, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Brady Kurtz3 3 3 1 212
- 10Patryk Wojdyło2 1 1 04
- 11Matej Zagar1 0 2 3 39+1
- 13Patrick Hansen0 3 3 1 18+1
- 14Kacper Tkocz1 0 01+1
- 15Paweł Trześniewski2 0 13
- 16Jan Kvech1 2 3 3 211+1
- 1Timo Lahti2 2 0 04
- 2Mateusz Tonder2 1 2 2 W7+2
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 3 T 2 16+1
- 4Jakub Jamróg3 1 2 2 08
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 1 3 312
- 6Mateusz Dul3 1 1 05+1
- 7Aleksander Grygolec0 0 U0
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2*
- Jan Kvech · RYB1
- Patrick Hansen · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LODU
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2*
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Mateusz Tonder · LODW
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1*
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| RYB | LOD | RYB | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.6 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 10.7 | 9 | -1.7 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.