LOD vs LAN
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 30, 2023 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Timo Lahti2 2 3 2 312+2
- 10Jakub Jamróg1 3 1 1 28+3
- 11Tomasz Gapiński0 2 0 13+2
- 12Mateusz Tonder1 3 2 3 110+1
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 3 2 09
- 14Aleksander GrygolecW 2 02
- 15Mateusz Dul3 1 26+1
- 1Kai Huckenbeck3 3 0 1 3 313
- 2Sandro Wassermann0 00
- 3Lukas Baumann1 0 1 D2+1
- 4Kim Nilsson0 1 2 0 14
- 5Dimitri Berge3 1 2 3 3 214+1
- 6Norick Blödorn2 3 1 0 06
- 7Erik Bachhuber1 M1
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Lukas Baumann · LAN1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD1*
- Sandro Wassermann · LAN0
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN1
- Lukas Baumann · LAN0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Sandro Wassermann · LAN0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Erik Bachhuber · LANM
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Lukas Baumann · LAN1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · LOD3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Timo Lahti · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN1
- Lukas Baumann · LAND
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2*
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | LAN | LOD | LAN | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Tonder | 5 | 5.7 | 10 | +4.3 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 2.5 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Dimitri Berge | 6 | 10.9 | 14 | +3.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 13.0 | 13 | +0.0 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Lukas Baumann | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Sandro Wassermann | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 9.6 | 4 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.