POZ vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 22, 2023 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Kevin Fajfer0 3 1 3 310
- 10Adrian Cyfer3 1 U 04
- 11Antonio Lindbäck1 3 2 1 3 111
- 12Adrian Gała0 D0
- 14Karol Żupiński2 0 0 13
- 15Kacper Teska0 00
- 16Jonas Seifert-Salk2 2 3 3 3 215
- 1Timo Lahti3 3 2 2 010
- 2Mateusz Tonder1 1 0 24
- 3Tomasz Gapiński2 T 1 1 15+1
- 4Jakub Jamróg2 2 3 1 311
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 2 2 211
- 6Mateusz Dul1 1 1 W3+1
- 7Aleksander Grygolec3 0 W3
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ1
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ0
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD3
- Karol Żupiński · POZ2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD1
- Adrian Gała · POZ0
- Adrian Cyfer · POZ3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Adrian Gała · POZ
- Timo Lahti · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Adrian Cyfer · POZ1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ1
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ1
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Adrian Gała · POZD
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Karol Żupiński · POZ1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Adrian Cyfer · POZU
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Adrian Cyfer · POZ0
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ1
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h SE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 27 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| POZ | LOD | POZ | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 9.9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 5 | 5.2 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Karol Żupiński | 4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 4 | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Kacper Teska | 2 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 4.9 | 0 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.