LOD vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, May 4, 2023 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Timo Lahti3 2 2 0 07+1
- 10Jakub Jamróg1 1 3 1 39
- 11Tom Brennan0 0 1 12+2
- 12Mateusz Tonder2 1 2 2 07
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen0 2 3 3 19
- 14Aleksander Grygolec2 2 04+1
- 15Mateusz Dul3 0 25
- 1Norbert Kościuch2 1 0 14
- 2Mads Hansen3 3 1 3 212+1
- 3Daniel Kaczmarek1 2 1 0 26+3
- 4Nicolai Klindt3 3 2 3 314
- 5Keynan Rew1 3 3 2 110+1
- 6Miłosz Wysocki1 D 01
- 7Seweryn Orgacki0 D 00
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1*
- Tom Brennan · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDAD
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2*
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD1
- Tom Brennan · LOD0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Keynan Rew · GDA3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDAD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA0
- Keynan Rew · GDA3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Tom Brennan · LOD1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA1
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Tom Brennan · LOD1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1*
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 15 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LOD | GDA | LOD | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.0 | 14 | +5.0 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.0 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 10.8 | 7 | -3.8 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.0 | 2 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.