LOD vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 13, 2023 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Timo Lahti2 3 0 0 27
- 10Mateusz Tonder11
- 11Jakub Jamróg0 2 1 2 16+1
- 12Rune Holta1 01
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 2 3 3 215
- 14Aleksander Grygolec2 U 02
- 15Mateusz DulW U 11+1
- 16Tom Brennan1 3 2 2 19+2
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 3 1 3 313+1
- 2David Bellego0 11
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak1 1 1 03
- 4Szymon Szlauderbach2 3 T 1 06+1
- 5Andreas Lyager2 2 0 15
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 3 2 314
- 7Olivier Buszkiewicz1 0 01
- 8Benjamin Basso2 3 05
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Rune Holta · LOD1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2*
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LODU
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Rune Holta · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Mateusz Dul · LODU
- Timo Lahti · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Tom Brennan · LOD1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Tom Brennan · LOD3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1*
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Tom Brennan · LOD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
- Benjamin Basso · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Tom Brennan · LOD2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Tom Brennan · LOD1*
- Benjamin Basso · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | BYD | LOD | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.9 | 15 | +4.1 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 10.9 | 14 | +3.1 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Benjamin Basso | 3 | 5.0 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 1 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| David Bellego | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Rune Holta | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.