GDA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 2, 2023 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Daniel Kaczmarek3 3 0 1 310+1
- 10Keynan Rew2 2 1 2 18+2
- 12Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 2 27
- 13Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 3 314
- 14Seweryn Orgacki2 0 02
- 15Miłosz Wysocki1 0 12
- 16Mads Hansen2 1 1 3 18+3
- 1Timo Lahti1 1 2 04+1
- 2Jakub Jamróg2 3 1 3 2 213+1
- 3Rune HoltaW 0 00
- 4Mateusz Tonder3 3 2 3 0 011
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen0 1 3 1 27
- 6Mateusz DulW 1 01
- 7Aleksander Grygolec3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2*
- Timo Lahti · LOD1
- Rune Holta · LODW
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD3
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1*
- Rune Holta · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Timo Lahti · LOD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2*
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1*
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Rune Holta · LOD0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 17 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 39 km/h W
- gusts up to 54 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GDA | LOD | GDA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 9.6 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 6 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 6 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Rune Holta | 3 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.