LOD vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 9, 2023 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Timo Lahti3 1 2 2 210+1
- 10Jakub Jamróg3 3 1 1 08+1
- 11Mateusz Tonder0 0 2 13
- 12Rune Holta0 1 12+1
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 2 3 213
- 14Aleksander Grygolec3 0 03
- 15Mateusz Dul2 0 3 38
- 16Tom Brennan00
- 1Kevin Fajfer2 2 0 04
- 3Antonio Lindbäck1 2 1 0 W4+2
- 4Norbert Krakowiak2 3 3 3 112
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev1 2 3 2 311+1
- 6Oskar HuryszW 1 12+1
- 7Kacper TeskaW 0 00
- 8Jonas Seifert-Salk2 1 3 2 19+1
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · LOD3
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ2
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ1*
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1*
- Rune Holta · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ2*
- Rune Holta · LOD1
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Timo Lahti · LOD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1*
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD2
- Oskar Hurysz · POZ1
- Tom Brennan · LOD0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Rune Holta · LOD1*
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ1
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 29 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 9 | +5 | −5 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LOD | POZ | LOD | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +5 | 89 % |
| 3 | +5 | 90 % |
| 4 | +5 | 90 % |
| 5 | +1 | 69 % |
| 6 | +1 | 74 % |
| 7 | +3 | 82 % |
| 8 | +1 | 71 % |
| 9 | +1 | 73 % |
| 10 | -1 | 56 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | +1 | 73 % |
| 13 | +3 | 91 % |
| 14 | +7 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 4.1 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 8.2 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 4 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Tom Brennan | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Rune Holta | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 4 | 6.1 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.