LAN vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 25, 2023 · OneSolar Arena Landshut Ellermühle, Landshut
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck3 3 2 1 312+1
- 10Kim Nilsson3 2 3 3 213+2
- 11Marius Hillebrand0 3 1 15
- 12Dimitri Berge3 2 0 3 311+1
- 13Martin Smolinski0 1 3 0 15
- 14Julian Bielmeier2 1 03
- 15Norick Blödornu M M0
- 1Timo Lahti1 3 0 2 17+1
- 2Jakub Jamróg2 2 1 2 07+2
- 3Rune Holta2 1 2 16+1
- 4Mateusz TonderT 00
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 2 2 28+2
- 6Mateusz Dul3 2 3 3 011
- 7Aleksander GrygolecW D 00
- 8Tom Brennan1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Rune Holta · LOD2
- Timo Lahti · LOD1*
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Julian Bielmeier · LAN2
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1*
- Martin Smolinski · LAN0
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Julian Bielmeier · LAN1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LODD
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2*
- Rune Holta · LOD1
- Mateusz Tonder · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2*
- Martin Smolinski · LAN1
- Norick Blödorn · LANM
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Martin Smolinski · LAN3
- Rune Holta · LOD2
- Tom Brennan · LOD1*
- Julian Bielmeier · LAN0
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2*
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD1
- Timo Lahti · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2*
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Timo Lahti · LOD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- Tom Brennan · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD2*
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN1
- Norick Blödorn · LANM
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Rune Holta · LOD1*
- Martin Smolinski · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Martin Smolinski · LAN1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2*
- Timo Lahti · LOD1
- Jakub Jamróg · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 27 °C
- Measured · Landshut-Reithof, 17 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Vilsheim-münchsdorf, 11 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Vilsheim-münchsdorf, 11 km away
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Measured · Landshut-Reithof, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | −1 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LAN | LOD | LAN | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LAN
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -1 | 64 % |
| 3 | -1 | 64 % |
| 4 | +1 | 73 % |
| 5 | +5 | 90 % |
| 6 | +1 | 74 % |
| 7 | +5 | 90 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +9 | 97 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +3 | 91 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Dul | 5 | 4.4 | 11 | +6.6 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Marius Hillebrand | 4 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Julian Bielmeier | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Martin Smolinski | 5 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Tom Brennan | 2 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 5.5 | 0 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.