GDA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 4, 2022 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Adrian Gała1 3 3 3 W10
- 10Rasmus Jensen2 2 1 1 39+2
- 11Jakub Jamróg3 3 2 3 213+1
- 12Viktor TrofymovW 1 1 13+1
- 13Timo Lahti3 3 3 2 314
- 14Miłosz WysockiU 0 00
- 15Kamil Marciniec1 0 12
- 1Norbert Kościuch0 2 0 02
- 2Marcin Nowak1 1 2 2 28+1
- 3Brady Kurtz2 2 2 3 1 010
- 4Luke Becker3 0 1 26+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 3 0 17
- 6Mateusz Dul2 1 03+1
- 7Aleksander Grygolec3 0 W3
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDAU
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h NE
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GDA | LOD | GDA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 5.3 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 10.5 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 11.8 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.