LOD vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 28, 2022 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Norbert Kościuch2 1 1 04+2
- 10Marcin Nowak2 2 3 0 29+1
- 11Brady Kurtz3 3 3 2 011
- 12Luke Becker3 2 1 2 210+1
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 3 2 310+1
- 14Aleksander Grygolec2 W2
- 15Mateusz Dul1 2 T3+1
- 16Nikodem Bartoch22+1
- 1Viktor Trofymov0 0 00
- 2Rasmus Jensen2 3 2 3 1 112
- 3Adrian Gała1 1 1 03
- 4Jakub Jamróg3 0 W 1 15
- 5Timo Lahti0 3 2 3 3 314
- 6Kamil Marciniec0 00
- 7Miłosz Wysocki3 1 0 W4
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Timo Lahti · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Luke Becker · LOD2*
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1*
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD2*
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Viktor Trofymov · GDA0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · GDA2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Kamil Marciniec · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
- Timo Lahti · GDA3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 10 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 28 km/h W
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 11 | −5 | +5 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LOD | GDA | LOD | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +13 | 100 % |
| 13 | +11 | 100 % |
| 14 | +15 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Becker | 5 | 4.7 | 10 | +5.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 11.2 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 2 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 13.7 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 10.2 | 5 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.