LOD vs ZIE

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 8, 2022 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź

Results

LOD 45 : 45 ZIE
LOD
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 162.04 s1:5
Heat 262.25 s5:1
Heat 361.28 s2:4
Heat 461.41 s4:2
Heat 561.24 s1:5
Heat 660.46 s2:4
Heat 760.63 s4:2
Heat 862.07 s3:3
Heat 960.60 s5:1
Heat 1061.48 s5:1
Heat 1160.55 s4:2
Heat 1261.00 s2:4
Heat 1361.12 s2:4
Heat 1461.09 s1:5
Heat 1561.11 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
20 → 19 °C
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Wind
12 km/h NW
gusts up to 24 km/h
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting
1.2 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
1.3 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
47 %
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4121200
5–7711−4+4
8–10135+8−8
11–13810−2+2
14–1557−2+2
LODZIELODZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LOD
-6-4-20246115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2064 %
3-247 %
4062 %
5-434 %
6-624 %
7-432 %
8-435 %
9056 %
10+484 %
11+692 %
12+486 %
13+274 %
14-223 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Mateusz Tonder22.56+3.5
Norbert Kościuch57.510+2.5
Brady Kurtz59.612+2.4
Krzysztof Buczkowski59.912+2.1
Nikodem Bartoch32.04+2.0
Jan Kvech45.56+0.5
Luke Becker56.36-0.3
Niels Kristian Iversen46.76-0.7
Rohan Tungate48.07-1.0
Mateusz Dul33.42-1.4
Piotr Protasiewicz34.43-1.4
Max Fricke510.99-1.9
Marcin Nowak56.95-1.9
Fabian Ragus22.00-2.0
Dawid Rempała54.52-2.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.2560.46 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 33.0:32.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +0.20
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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