KRO vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 1, 2022 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz Musielak1 3 2 2 210+2
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 2 3 2 111+2
- 11Rafał Karczmarz0 2 3 38+1
- 12Vaclav Milik3 3 1 3 111+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 2 3 313+1
- 14Franciszek Karczewski3 2 U5+1
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski2 1 03+1
- 1Marcin Nowak3 2 3 0 D 08
- 2Norbert Kościuch0 U 2 35
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen2 0 1 03+1
- 4Luke Becker0 1 1 02
- 5Brady Kurtz1 1 1 U 1 26
- 6Mateusz Dul1 1 2 15+1
- 7Aleksander GrygolecD W0
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LODD
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO2*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1
- Norbert Kościuch · LODU
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · KROU
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Brady Kurtz · LODU
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LODD
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 18 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h NW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 33 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | LOD | KRO | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +26 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 4.6 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Marcin Nowak | 6 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 5.8 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 10.4 | 6 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.