LOD vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 23, 2022 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Luke Becker1 1 02+1
- 10Norbert Kościuch3 2 1 06
- 11Niels Kristian Iversen0 2 3 2 3 010
- 12Marcin Nowak3 1 0 1 16+1
- 13Brady Kurtz0 3 2 3 1 211
- 14Aleksander Grygolec2 0 M2
- 15Mateusz Dul1 0 12+2
- 1Daniel Jeleniewski2 1 2 2 07+3
- 2Adrian Miedziński1 2 0 3 28+1
- 3Kenneth Bjerre3 3 3 3 315
- 4Olegs Mihailovs2 0 13
- 5Matej Zagar2 3 2 2 110+1
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 1 1 38+2
- 7Przemysław Konieczny0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD1*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Matej Zagar · BYD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Olegs Mihailovs · BYD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LODM
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Matej Zagar · BYD2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Adrian Miedziński · BYD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Matej Zagar · BYD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 13 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h N
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | BYD | LOD | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.2 | 15 | +5.8 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 4 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 3 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Luke Becker | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.