GNI vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 17, 2022 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Ernest Koza0 11+1
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach1 2 2 0 W 05
- 11Oskar Fajfer1 0 2 3 3 312
- 12Peter Kildemand0 2 1 14+1
- 13Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 2 1 2 112+1
- 14Mikołaj Czapla0 0 00
- 15Marcel Studziński1 0 01
- 1Luke Becker2 2 0 26+2
- 2Norbert Kościuch2 1 3 2 210+1
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 1 1 19+1
- 4Marcin Nowak3 1 3 3 010
- 5Brady Kurtz1 3 3 3 212+1
- 6Aleksander Grygolec3 2 05+1
- 7Mateusz Dul2 0 13+2
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Luke Becker · LOD2*
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Ernest Koza · GNI0
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1*
- Peter Kildemand · GNI0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · GNI1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · GNI2
- Ernest Koza · GNI1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · GNI2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI1*
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Luke Becker · LOD2*
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GNI1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h N
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GNI | LOD | GNI | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -12 | 10 % |
| 5 | -14 | 0 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -16 | 1 % |
| 9 | -16 | 1 % |
| 10 | -16 | 2 % |
| 11 | -20 | 1 % |
| 12 | -20 | 0 % |
| 13 | -22 | 0 % |
| 14 | -22 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.1 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 6 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 12.7 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 6 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Ernest Koza | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.