RYB vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 23, 2022 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Nicolai Klindt1 2 0 25
- 10Andreas Lyager3 D 2 2 07+1
- 11Patryk Wojdyło3 2 3 2 111+1
- 12Krystian Pieszczek1 3 2 1 18+2
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 2 2 3 313
- 14Kacper TkoczU 00
- 15Paweł Trześniewski3 0 03
- 16Lech Chlebowski00
- 1Brady Kurtz2 3 3 3 2 215+1
- 2Luke Becker0 1 1 3 38
- 3Norbert Kościuch0 D 1 01
- 4Marcin Nowak2 1 3 06
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 1 1 07
- 6Mateusz Dul1 01
- 7Nikodem Bartoch2 13
- 8Aleksander Grygolec1 12+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBU
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LODD
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB2
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD1
- Andreas Lyager · RYBD
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Lech Chlebowski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · RYB2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Nicolai Klindt · RYB2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · RYB2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB1
- Andreas Lyager · RYB0
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 26 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h N
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| RYB | LOD | RYB | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 5.8 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 12.9 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 2 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Lech Chlebowski | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Dul | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.0 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 5.2 | 1 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.