LOD vs GNI

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 16, 2022 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź

Results

LOD 52 : 37 GNI
LOD
GNI

Heat by heat

Heat 160.18 s1:5
Heat 261.03 s3:3
Heat 359.74 s4:2
Heat 459.37 s4:2
Heat 561.09 s5:0
Heat 660.79 s4:2
Heat 759.53 s5:1
Heat 861.47 s5:1
Heat 959.81 s3:3
Heat 1060.23 s3:3
Heat 1160.97 s3:3
Heat 1261.00 s3:3
Heat 1360.40 s3:3
Heat 1460.59 s3:3
Heat 1560.03 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Showers
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
16 °C
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Wind
19 km/h W
gusts up to 37 km/h
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
1.6 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
71 %
Measured · Lodz, 4 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4121200
5–7143+11−11
8–10117+4−4
11–139900
14–156600
LODGNILODGNI

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LOD
051015115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2-437 %
3-247 %
4062 %
5+590 %
6+795 %
7+1199 %
8+15100 %
9+15100 %
10+15100 %
11+15100 %
12+15100 %
13+15100 %
14+15100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Nikodem Bartoch21.84+2.2
Antonio Lindbäck68.510+1.5
Michael Jepsen Jensen610.712+1.3
Norbert Kościuch56.98+1.1
Luke Becker58.09+1.0
Brady Kurtz510.011+1.0
Mateusz Dul22.33+0.7
Aleksander Grygolec21.52+0.5
Marcin Nowak46.26-0.2
Mikołaj Czapla21.41-0.4
Szymon Szlauderbach44.23-1.2
Niels Kristian Iversen510.39-1.3
Marcel Studziński43.82-1.8
Ernest Koza22.00-2.0
Oskar Fajfer612.59-3.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.4759.37 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 40.0:31.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −1.52 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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