LOD vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 25, 2022 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Brady Kurtz2 2 3 18+1
- 10Luke Becker2 3 0 3 19
- 11Norbert Kościuch1 2 2 2 07+3
- 12Marcin Nowak1 3 3 3 313+1
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 3 0 210+1
- 14Mateusz Dul1 01+1
- 15Nikodem Bartoch2 0 02
- 16Aleksander Grygolec00
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 1 1 2 2 09+3
- 2Vaclav Milik0 2 2 3 2 110
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak0 00
- 4Rafał Karczmarz1 1 02
- 5Andzejs Lebedevs3 1 1 1 1 310+2
- 6Franciszek Karczewski3 3 2 D 19
- 7Kacper Szopa0 00
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO3
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Kacper Szopa · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Kacper Szopa · KRO0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO1*
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Franciszek Karczewski · KROD
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Rafał Karczmarz · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Franciszek Karczewski · KRO1
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 28 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h E
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 32 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | KRO | LOD | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.0 | 13 | +7.0 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 5 | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Mateusz Dul | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | -2.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 12.4 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Kacper Szopa | 2 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 2 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.