ZIE vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 18, 2022 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 3 06+1
- 10Max Fricke3 3 2 3 314+1
- 11Rohan Tungate3 3 3 312
- 12Jan Kvech1 1 1 14
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 19+1
- 14Dawid RempałaW 1 34
- 15Nile Tufft3 1 15+1
- 16Mateusz Tonder0 2 13
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 0 2 05+1
- 2Norbert Kościuch0 0 3 25
- 3Nikodem Bartoch00
- 4Marcin Nowak2 1 W 3 28+1
- 5Brady Kurtz2 2 1 2 29
- 6Mateusz Dul1 0 1 02
- 7Aleksander Grygolec2 0 02
- 8Luke Becker0 2 T 02
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Nile Tufft · ZIE3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIEW
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2
- Nile Tufft · ZIE1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD2*
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Nile Tufft · ZIE1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE1
- Nikodem Bartoch · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 34 → 33 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h SW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | LOD | ZIE | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 4 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.5 | 14 | +2.5 |
| Nile Tufft | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Dawid Rempała | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Luke Becker | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.0 | 5 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.