LOD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, April 22, 2022 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Luke Becker2 1 2 16+1
- 10Norbert Kościuch0 3 1 2 06+2
- 11Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 3 3 111+2
- 12Marcin Nowak2 2 2 2 210+2
- 13Brady KurtzD 3 1 3 310
- 14Aleksander Grygolec2 1 03+1
- 15Mateusz Dul3 1 15
- 1Patryk Wojdyło3 0 3 1 07
- 2Krystian Pieszczek1 2 0 2 16
- 3Grzegorz Zengota0 3 0 3 0 0 17+1
- 4Andreas Lyager3 1 2 2 3 2 316+1
- 6Paweł Trześniewski1 2 0 03+1
- 7Kacper Tkocz0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB1
- Brady Kurtz · LODD
- Andreas Lyager · RYB3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Andreas Lyager · RYB1
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · RYB2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · RYB2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Andreas Lyager · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RYB1
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · RYB2
- Grzegorz Zengota · RYB1*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · LOD1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 10 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 30 km/h NE
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | RYB | LOD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Andreas Lyager | 7 | 12.6 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 7 | 12.3 | 7 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.