LOD vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 5, 2021 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Norbert Kościuch1 1 1 2 16+3
- 10Marcin Nowak3 2 2 0 07
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev2 D u 35
- 13Brady Kurtz1 1 2 1 38+2
- 14Jakub Sroka0 0 00
- 15Mateusz Dul1 2 3 39
- 16Luke Becker3 2 W 1 39
- 1Krystian Pieszczek0 0 0 11
- 2Rasmus Jensen0 3 3 2 210
- 3Jakub Jamróg2 3 3 2 111+2
- 4Michał Gruchalski2 1 1 0 04
- 5Viktor Kulakov3 3 2 3 213
- 6Alan Szczotka3 1 15+1
- 7Piotr Gryszpiński2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Alan Szczotka · GDA3
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA2*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1*
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LODD
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 19 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h NE
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LOD | GDA | LOD | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 4.0 | 9 | +5.0 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 5 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Jakub Sroka | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 4 | 6.6 | 1 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.