BYD vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 30, 2021 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Vadim Tarasenko1 3 1 W5
- 10Adrian Gała2 2 0 0 04+1
- 11David Bellego3 2 2 3 212+2
- 12Grzegorz Zengota2 3 3 2 010+1
- 13Andreas Lyager3 1 1 3 311
- 14Nikodem Bartoch2 0 W2+1
- 15Wiktor Przyjemski3 0 14
- 1Brady Kurtz2 3 2 3 2 113+1
- 2Norbert Kościuch1 2 3 2 2 313+1
- 3Luke Becker0 1 3 1 16+2
- 4Marcin Nowak1 W 2 14+1
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev0 0 11
- 6Mateusz Dul1 3 1 05
- 7Jakub Sroka0 00
Heat by heat
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD2*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Adrian Gała · BYD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD0
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD3
- Adrian Gała · BYD2*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Vadim Tarasenko · BYD1
- Adrian Gała · BYD0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Adrian Gała · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Adrian Gała · BYD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 16 km/h N
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| BYD | LOD | BYD | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Kościuch | 6 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.5 | 10 | +3.5 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 10.9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Jakub Sroka | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 8.2 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 6.2 | 1 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.