GDA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 15, 2021 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Viktor Kulakov2 2 3 2 3 214+1
- 10Michał Gruchalski3 1 0 04+1
- 11Krystian Pieszczek1 0 1 2 26+2
- 12Jakub Jamróg2 1 3 2 3 314+1
- 13Rasmus Jensen0 1 12
- 14Alan Szczotka2 1 U3
- 15Piotr GryszpińskiW D 11+1
- 1Marcin Nowak0 2 1 03+1
- 2Brady Kurtz1 3 3 3 010
- 3Norbert Kościuch3 2 1 2 19+2
- 4Luke Becker2 3 2 1 08
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 2 3 112
- 6Mateusz Dul3 0 03
- 7Jakub SrokaW 0 00
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Alan Szczotka · GDA2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA0
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Alan Szczotka · GDA1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDAD
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA1*
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Alan Szczotka · GDAU
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA3
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2
- Piotr Gryszpiński · GDA1*
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Rasmus Jensen · GDA1
- Michał Gruchalski · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GDA2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · GDA3
- Viktor Kulakov · GDA2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Fog
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 10 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 12 | −1 | +1 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| GDA | LOD | GDA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -1 | 64 % |
| 3 | -3 | 47 % |
| 4 | -1 | 62 % |
| 5 | -5 | 34 % |
| 6 | -9 | 18 % |
| 7 | -9 | 13 % |
| 8 | -9 | 12 % |
| 9 | -11 | 2 % |
| 10 | -9 | 5 % |
| 11 | -5 | 18 % |
| 12 | -5 | 20 % |
| 13 | -9 | 2 % |
| 14 | -5 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Jamróg | 6 | 9.2 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 6 | 13.8 | 14 | +0.2 |
| Alan Szczotka | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Gryszpiński | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 3 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Jakub Sroka | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.