LOD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 25, 2021 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak1 2 2 3 08+1
- 10Luke Becker2 1 3 06
- 11Norbert KościuchW 2 1 2 U5+2
- 12Brady Kurtz2 3 2 2 312+1
- 13Oleksandr Loktayev1 3 1 3 311+1
- 14Jakub SrokaW 0 00
- 15Mateusz Dul3 0 W3
- 1Kacper Gomolski2 1 1 15+2
- 2Sergei Logachev0 2 0 3 16
- 3Viktor Trofymov3 0 2 1 28+2
- 4Rune Holta3 1 3 W 29
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 2 112+1
- 6Mateusz Tudzież2 1 03
- 7Przemysław GieraW0
Heat by heat
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LODW
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1*
- Sergei Logachev · RYB0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Sergei Logachev · RYB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Norbert Kościuch · LODU
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 14 | −5 | +5 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 7 | +3 | −3 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | RYB | LOD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -3 | 54 % |
| 3 | -3 | 47 % |
| 4 | -5 | 38 % |
| 5 | -1 | 64 % |
| 6 | -1 | 66 % |
| 7 | -1 | 60 % |
| 8 | -5 | 35 % |
| 9 | -1 | 56 % |
| 10 | -1 | 56 % |
| 11 | +3 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 5 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.4 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Przemysław Giera | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.0 | 5 | -3.0 |
| Jakub Sroka | 3 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.