KRO vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, May 3, 2021 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Tobiasz MusielakT 2 2 3 29+2
- 10Mateusz Szczepaniak3 3 3 3 113
- 11Patryk Wojdyło1 0 1 24
- 12Vaclav MilikD 2 3 2 W7+1
- 13Andzejs Lebedevs3 3 2 1 312
- 14Jakub JanikW 0 00
- 15Bartosz Curzytek0 3 1 04
- 1Marcin Nowak2 W 1 03+1
- 2Norbert Kościuch2 2 0 1 16
- 3Brady Kurtz3 1 3 2 3 012
- 4Luke Becker2 3 1 1 29
- 5Vladimir Borodulin1 1 2 W4
- 6Mateusz DulU 1 0 34+1
- 7Jakub Sroka2 02
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO3
- Jakub Sroka · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LODU
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Vladimir Borodulin · LOD1
- Vaclav Milik · KROD
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1*
- Jakub Janik · KRO0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Vladimir Borodulin · LOD1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Jakub Janik · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Vladimir Borodulin · LOD2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Mateusz Dul · LOD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Bartosz Curzytek · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · KRO2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · KRO1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10 → 9 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 13 | −3 | +3 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| KRO | LOD | KRO | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -3 | 54 % |
| 3 | -3 | 47 % |
| 4 | -3 | 46 % |
| 5 | -5 | 34 % |
| 6 | -3 | 48 % |
| 7 | +1 | 70 % |
| 8 | -1 | 57 % |
| 9 | +3 | 88 % |
| 10 | +5 | 92 % |
| 11 | +9 | 97 % |
| 12 | +7 | 98 % |
| 13 | +9 | 100 % |
| 14 | +7 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Vladimir Borodulin | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 12.5 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Jakub Sroka | 2 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 4 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Jakub Janik | 3 | 3.9 | 0 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.