TAR vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 1, 2021 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Artur Mroczka3 3 1 18
- 11Ernest Koza2 0 3 38+1
- 12Niels Kristian Iversen2 1 2 3 08+2
- 13Rohan Tungate3 3 2 2 313+1
- 14Dawid Rempała3 2 3 210+1
- 15Przemysław Konieczny2 0 1 03+1
- 16Piotr Świercz3 1 0 04
- 1Brady Kurtz1 2 3 2 3 213
- 2Norbert Kościuch0 1 2 25+2
- 3Piotr Pióro00
- 4Marcin Nowak1 2 0 03+1
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev1 2 1 15
- 6Mateusz Dul1 0 01
- 7Aleksander Grygolec0 U 00
- 8Luke Becker3 1 3 1 19+1
Heat by heat
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Dawid Rempała · TAR3
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR2*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Piotr Świercz · TAR3
- Dawid Rempała · TAR2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Piotr Świercz · TAR1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LODU
- Dawid Rempała · TAR3
- Rohan Tungate · TAR2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · TAR2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Piotr Świercz · TAR0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Dawid Rempała · TAR2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · TAR3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 26 °C
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 20 | 4 | +16 | −16 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TAR | LOD | TAR | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +16 | 100 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawid Rempała | 4 | 2.9 | 10 | +7.1 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 4.9 | 8 | +3.1 |
| Ernest Koza | 4 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Piotr Świercz | 4 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Pióro | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Przemysław Konieczny | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.