RYB vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Monday, July 5, 2021 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Kacper Gomolski1 3 1 2 29+2
- 10Rune Holta3 2 3 1 211+1
- 11Sergei Logachev2 1 1 3 310+1
- 12Viktor Trofymov3 2 3 0 19+1
- 13Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 3 06
- 14Kacper TkoczW M U0
- 15Mateusz Tudzież3 1 15+1
- 1Marcin Nowak0 3 2 1 17
- 2Ben Ernst0 0 00
- 3Brady Kurtz3 3 2 2 2 012+1
- 4Piotr Pióro2 0 1 03
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev2 1 2 3 3 314
- 6Mateusz Dul2 1 03
- 7Jakub Sroka1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Jakub Sroka · LOD1
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB1
- Ben Ernst · LOD0
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBM
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1*
- Ben Ernst · LOD0
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB3
- Rune Holta · RYB2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBU
- Rune Holta · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB1
- Ben Ernst · LOD0
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Rune Holta · RYB1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · RYB0
- Sergei Logachev · RYB3
- Kacper Gomolski · RYB2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Rune Holta · RYB2
- Viktor Trofymov · RYB1*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| RYB | LOD | RYB | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Trofymov | 5 | 4.8 | 9 | +4.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 11.0 | 14 | +3.0 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Piotr Pióro | 4 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 11.4 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Jakub Sroka | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Ben Ernst | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.