GNI vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, June 25, 2021 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 10Peter Kildemand3 2 1 17+1
- 11Kevin Fajfer3 2 2 3 212+3
- 12Oskar Fajfer1 3 3 2 110+1
- 13Timo Lahti3 1 3 3 313
- 14Mikołaj CzaplaU 0 W0
- 15Marcel Studziński3 0 14
- 16Frederik Jakobsen1 3 3 3 313
- 1Marcin Nowak0 3 0 0 25
- 2Brady Kurtz2 2 15
- 3Norbert Kościuch2 1 2 05
- 4Piotr Pióro1 0 12+1
- 5Oleksandr LoktayevU 1 12
- 6Mateusz Dul2 2 0 04
- 7Jakub Sroka1 01
- 8Luke Becker2 2 2 1 0 07+1
Heat by heat
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Marcel Studziński · GNI3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Jakub Sroka · LOD1
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNIU
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LODU
- Peter Kildemand · GNI3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1*
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Luke Becker · LOD2*
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Marcel Studziński · GNI0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Peter Kildemand · GNI2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Jakub Sroka · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Marcel Studziński · GNI1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Peter Kildemand · GNI1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Frederik Jakobsen · GNI3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GNI | LOD | GNI | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Fajfer | 5 | 4.4 | 12 | +7.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 7.8 | 13 | +5.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Marcel Studziński | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Jakub Sroka | 2 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 3 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Mateusz Dul | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 9.6 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 3 | 5.2 | 2 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.