GNI vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 29, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. płk. Franciszka Hynka, Gniezno
Results
- 9Adrian Gała3 3 2 1 W9
- 10Oliver Berntzon3 1 0 1 16+1
- 11Oskar Fajfer1 3 D 3 29
- 12Kevin Fajfer0 2 3 T5+1
- 13Timo Lahti1 2 3 3 211
- 14Mikołaj Czapla2 1 03+1
- 15Damian Stalkowski3 0 0 14
- 1Norbert Kościuch2 3 1 3 110
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev2 1 3 2 311+1
- 3Rohan Tungate0 1 1 2 37+1
- 4Brady Kurtz2 0 2 2 06+1
- 5Marcin Nowak3 2 2 07
- 6Mateusz Dul0 00
- 7Piotr Pióro1 0 1 02
Heat by heat
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI3
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI2*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Timo Lahti · GNI1
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI0
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Adrian Gała · GNI3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Mikołaj Czapla · GNI0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Adrian Gała · GNI2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI0
- Kevin Fajfer · GNI3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Oskar Fajfer · GNID
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Adrian Gała · GNI1
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI0
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Damian Stalkowski · GNI1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Timo Lahti · GNI3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Oskar Fajfer · GNI2
- Oliver Berntzon · GNI1*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Timo Lahti · GNI2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h SW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 9.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GNI | LOD | GNI | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GNI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Fajfer | 3 | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Damian Stalkowski | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Mikołaj Czapla | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Piotr Pióro | 4 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Mateusz Dul | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.8 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.