LOD vs TAR
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 22, 2020 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Norbert Kościuch3 25+1
- 10Marcin Nowak1 34
- 11Brady Kurtz1 23+1
- 12Daniel Jeleniewski1 34
- 13Rohan Tungate3 3 39
- 14Mateusz Dul0 0 11
- 15Piotr Pióro2 02
- 1Kim Nilsson2 24
- 2Daniel Kaczmarek0 11+1
- 3Artur Mroczka0 1 23
- 4Michał Gruchalski2 0 U2+1
- 5Ernest Koza2 13
- 6Przemysław Konieczny3 36
- 7Mateusz Cierniak1 D1
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Mateusz Cierniak · TAR1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Ernest Koza · TAR2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR0
- Przemysław Konieczny · TAR3
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Michał Gruchalski · TAR0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kim Nilsson · TAR2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · TAR1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · TARD
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Mateusz Dul · LOD1
- Michał Gruchalski · TARU
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 19 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 5.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 92 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| LOD | TAR | LOD | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Konieczny | 2 | 2.0 | 6 | +4.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 3 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 2 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 2 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Piotr Pióro | 2 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 2 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Ernest Koza | 2 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Kim Nilsson | 2 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Artur Mroczka | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 2 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 2 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Michał Gruchalski | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.