LOD vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 1, 2020 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak3 2 1 3 312+2
- 10Brady Kurtz3 3 2 2 313+1
- 11Daniel Jeleniewski0 0 3 36
- 12Hans Andersen0 2 2 1 16+1
- 13Rohan Tungate1 3 3 3 212+1
- 14Mateusz DulW M0
- 15Piotr Pióro2 0 13
- 16Aleksander Grygolec00
- 1Grzegorz Walasek2 1 3 2 W8+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński3 2 0 2 18
- 3Adrian Cyfer1 3 2 0 28+1
- 4Rafał Okoniewski2 1 1 04
- 5Nicolai Klindt2 1 1 15+1
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 1 0 04+1
- 7Kacper Grzelak1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Adrian Cyfer · OST1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST3
- Nicolai Klindt · OST2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Hans Andersen · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Adrian Cyfer · OST3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST1
- Mateusz Dul · LODM
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Rafał Okoniewski · OST0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · LOD2*
- Nicolai Klindt · OST1
- Adrian Cyfer · OST0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Adrian Cyfer · OST2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 15 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h NW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LOD | OST | LOD | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 5.4 | 12 | +6.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 5 | 5.7 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Mateusz Dul | 2 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.