TOR vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 25, 2020 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Viktor Kulakov2 3 2 1 311+2
- 10Jack Holder3 2 3 3 213+1
- 11Tobiasz Musielak3 0 2 2 29+2
- 12Adrian Miedziński3 1 3 W7
- 13Chris Holder2 3 2 2 110+3
- 14Kamil Marciniec1 12
- 15Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński3 0 14+1
- 16Aleks Rydlewski00
- 1Norbert Kościuch1 2 1 3 07
- 2Brady Kurtz1 1 0 3 05+1
- 3Rohan Tungate0 3 3 1 310
- 4Hans Andersen2 2 1 2 18+2
- 5Daniel Jeleniewski0 1 1 02
- 6Piotr PióroW W0
- 7Mateusz Dul2 02
- 8Aleksander Grygolec0 00
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD0
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR3
- Mateusz Dul · LOD2
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2
- Kamil Marciniec · TOR1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR0
- Chris Holder · TOR3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Brady Kurtz · LOD1*
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Jack Holder · TOR2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Aleks Rydlewski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2
- Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński · TOR1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Tobiasz Musielak · TOR2*
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Brady Kurtz · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TOR | LOD | TOR | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.2 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Igor Kopeć-Sobczyński | 3 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Viktor Kulakov | 5 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Kamil Marciniec | 2 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Mateusz Dul | 2 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Aleks Rydlewski | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Pióro | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.