BYD vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 18, 2020 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9David Bellego1 2 2 2 310+2
- 10Dimitri Berge3 0 3 0 17
- 11Andreas Lyager0 1 2 36
- 12Dawid Lampart3 3 1 3 W10+1
- 13Kamil Brzozowski2 1 1 2 06+1
- 14Tomasz Orwat3 1 26
- 15Mateusz Błażykowski1 0 12
- 1Norbert Kościuch3 3 1 1 19
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev0 2 W W2+1
- 3Rohan Tungate2 2 3 3 3 215+1
- 4Marcin Nowak2 0 W 02
- 5Daniel Jeleniewski1 3 3 1 210+1
- 6Mateusz Dul0 00
- 7Piotr Pióro2 1 25
- 8Aleksander Grygolec00
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Mateusz Błażykowski · BYD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Dawid Lampart · BYD3
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
- Dimitri Berge · BYD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Dawid Lampart · BYD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · BYD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- David Bellego · BYD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Dimitri Berge · BYD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD2
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD1
- Dimitri Berge · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LODW
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Dawid Lampart · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Piotr Pióro · LOD2
- Mateusz Błażykowski · BYD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LODW
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD1
- Dimitri Berge · BYD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2*
- Dimitri Berge · BYD1
- Kamil Brzozowski · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Dawid Lampart · BYDW
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 27 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 40 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| BYD | LOD | BYD | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 11.7 | 15 | +3.3 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 3 | 2.8 | 6 | +3.2 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Dawid Lampart | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Kamil Brzozowski | 5 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Mateusz Dul | 2 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 4 | 7.8 | 2 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.