DAU vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, October 4, 2020 · SC Lokomotiv Daugavpils, Daugavpils
Results
- 9Pontus Aspgren2 1 2 2 310+2
- 11Ernests Matjusonoks00
- 12Andrey Kudryashov0 2 1 3 17+1
- 13Jevgenijs Kostigovs2 1 2 3 3 112
- 14Francis Gusts2 3 1 1 18+4
- 15Ricards Ansviesulis3 0 25
- 16Olegs Mihailovs0 2 0 1 25
- 1Marcin Nowak3 2 1 1 310+1
- 2Rohan Tungate3 3 3 3 214
- 3Norbert Kościuch1 3 3 0 07
- 4Daniel Jeleniewski2 0 0 D2
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev1 3 2 2 08
- 6Piotr Pióro1 1 02+1
- 7Mateusz DulW 0 00
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Ernests Matjusonoks · DAU0
- Ricards Ansviesulis · DAU3
- Francis Gusts · DAU2*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU0
- Francis Gusts · DAU3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1*
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Ricards Ansviesulis · DAU0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU0
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU3
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU2*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LODD
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Ricards Ansviesulis · DAU2
- Francis Gusts · DAU1*
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU1
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Olegs Mihailovs · DAU2
- Andrey Kudryashov · DAU1*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- Pontus Aspgren · DAU3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Jevgenijs Kostigovs · DAU1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 19 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 25 km/h SE
- gusts up to 58 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| DAU | LOD | DAU | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevgenijs Kostigovs | 6 | 7.1 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.8 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Ricards Ansviesulis | 3 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Ernests Matjusonoks | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Olegs Mihailovs | 5 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Mateusz Dul | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 7.5 | 2 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.