LOD vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, October 2, 2020 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Norbert Kościuch3 2 1 1 07+1
- 10Rohan Tungate2 1 3 2 311+2
- 11Daniel Jeleniewski0 3 3 2 08
- 12Marcin Nowak3 0 2 27+1
- 13Oleksandr Loktayev2 2 3 3 111+1
- 14Aleksander GrygolecW0
- 15Piotr Pióro1 0 W1
- 16Mateusz Dul00
- 1Kai Huckenbeck2 1 2 0 27
- 2Grzegorz Zengota0 3 0 3 28+1
- 3Dawid Lampart1 1 1 03+2
- 5David Bellego1 3 1 1 39
- 6Tomasz Orwat3 1 04
- 7Nikodem Bartoch2 0 13+1
- 8Andreas Lyager3 2 2 3 111+1
Heat by heat
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD3
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD2*
- Piotr Pióro · LOD1
- Marcin Nowak · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD1
- Mateusz Dul · LOD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1*
- Marcin Nowak · LOD0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Piotr Pióro · LOD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Dawid Lampart · BYD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Tomasz Orwat · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Marcin Nowak · LOD2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD3
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD2
- Nikodem Bartoch · BYD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · LOD2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Dawid Lampart · BYD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Grzegorz Zengota · BYD2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 14 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LOD | BYD | LOD | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Tomasz Orwat | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Nikodem Bartoch | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Mateusz Dul | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Dawid Lampart | 4 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.